National League | Gameweek 23

Jan 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Victoria Road

Dag & Red
3 - 1
Dover Athletic

Morias (29'), Walker (36'), Weston (54')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pavey (50')
Goodman (41'), Ofori-Twumasi (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Dagenham & Redbridge in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dagenham & Redbridge.

Result
Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Dover Athletic
66.46%	18.95%	14.59%

Both teams to score 54.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93%

39.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.61%

61.39%

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.08%

10.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.91%

35.09%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69%

39.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99%

76.01%

Score Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge 66.45%

Dover Athletic 14.59%

Draw 18.95%

Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Dover Athletic
2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.39% 5-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 4.29% Total : 66.45%	1-1 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.95%	1-2 @ 4.14% 0-1 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.43% 1-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.85% Total : 14.59%