National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominic Poleon 40' goal
  • Adam Mekki 55' goal
  • Joe Martin 76' goal
  • goal Cole Kpekawa 67'

Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 5 - 1 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 0 - 3 Braintree
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Charlee Hughes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result

Ebbsfleet 51.23%
Draw 23.49%
Hemel Hempstead Town 25.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.98%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.96%
Under 2.5 44.04%
Over 3.5 33.58%
Under 3.5 66.42%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 82.76%
Under 0.5 17.24%
Over 1.5 52.45%
Under 1.5 47.55%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.85%
Under 0.5 31.15%
Over 1.5 32.52%
Under 1.5 67.48%

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 51.23%
Draw 23.49%
Hemel Hempstead Town 25.28%
Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 51.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.49%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.28%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 41
May 21, 2021 11.00pm
National League South Gameweek 26
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm