National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Stadium Cheshunt

Cheshunt
3 - 2
Hampton

Golding (75'), Liburd (81'), Beckles (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wood (29'), Barzey (70')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Cheshunt and Hampton & Richmond.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheshunt would win this match.

Result
CheshuntDrawHampton & Richmond
37.14% (0.911 0.91)26.39% (0.132 0.13)36.47% (-1.041 -1.04)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.557 -0.56)51.83% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.485 -0.48)73.59% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.267 0.27)27.05% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.346 0.35)62.42% (-0.343 -0.34)
Hampton & Richmond Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (-0.864 -0.86)27.44% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (-1.129 -1.13)62.92% (1.132 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Cheshunt 37.14%
    Hampton & Richmond 36.47%
    Draw 26.39%
CheshuntDrawHampton & Richmond
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.232 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.14%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.47%