Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guiseley would win this match.