National League North Gameweek 16
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Henley 39' goal
  • Jacob Blyth 81' goal
  • goal Jake Cassidy 77'

Chorley vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
Blyth Spartans 0 - 2 Chorley
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Connor Hall

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
Darlington 1 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Luke Charman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result

Chorley 58.74%
Draw 21.82%
Darlington 19.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.64%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.61%
Under 2.5 43.38%
Over 3.5 34.22%
Under 3.5 65.78%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 85.55%
Under 0.5 14.44%
Over 1.5 57.61%
Under 1.5 42.39%

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 63.86%
Under 0.5 36.13%
Over 1.5 27.08%
Under 1.5 72.91%

Score analysis

Chorley 58.73%
Draw 21.81%
Darlington 19.44%
Chorley
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.77%
3-1 @ 6.42%
3-0 @ 6.3%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.22%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.81%
Darlington
0-1 @ 5.31%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 19.44%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 39
May 8, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 18
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm