Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 12.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.