Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.47%. A win for had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%).
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 55.47% | 21.58% | 22.95% |
| Both teams to score 60.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.38% | 37.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.14% | 59.86% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% | 13.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.38% | 40.62% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% | 65.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.66% Total : 55.47% | 1-1 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.97% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.11% Total : 22.95% |