Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 44.68% | 25.07% | 30.25% |
| Both teams to score 55.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% | 47.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% | 69.86% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% | 21.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% | 54.33% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% | 29.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% | 65.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.68% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.25% |