/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_2.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fzamlog.png)
-
Lassine Sinayoko
61'
-
Aliou Dieng
65'
-
David Simukonda
69'
-
Patson Daka
90'+2'
Mali vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fzambia_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.28% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.08%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
Mali
66.5%
▲
(+0.83)
Draw
21.28%
▼
(-0.41)
Zambia
12.22%
▼
(-0.43)
Both Teams to Score:
40.33%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.97%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 2.5
54.02%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
24.54%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 3.5
75.46%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 4.5
11.07%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 4.5
88.93%
▼
(-0.32)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
84.51%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 0.5
15.48%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 1.5
55.63%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 1.5
44.37%
▼
(-0.88)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
47.72%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
52.27%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
13.82%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
86.18%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Mali
66.49%
Draw
21.28%
Zambia
12.22%
Mali
1-0
@
15.09%
▼
(-0.11)
2-0 @ 14.08% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 66.49%
2-0 @ 14.08% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 66.49%
Draw
1-1
@
9.79%
▼
(-0.18)
0-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.28%
0-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.28%
Zambia
0-1
@
5.25%
▼
(-0.19)
1-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 12.22%
1-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 12.22%