Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.