Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.