Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Unirea Slobozia win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for SCM Gloria Buzau had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Unirea Slobozia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest SCM Gloria Buzau win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Unirea Slobozia would win this match.