Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 85.57%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Thaon had a probability of 4.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.65%) and 0-1 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for a Thaon win it was 1-0 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.