Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.