Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.