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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%).
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 31.99% | 24.6% | 43.41% |
| Both teams to score 58.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% | 44.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% | 67.19% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% | 62.08% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% | 20.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% | 53.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.99% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.41% |