Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a win it was 0-1 (5.95%).
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Leganes |
| 61.4% | 22.67% | 15.93% |
| Both teams to score 45.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% | 52.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% | 74.05% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% | 16.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% | 46.45% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.37% | 45.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.57% | 81.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% 2-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5.73% 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.25% 5-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.76% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.38% Total : 15.93% |