J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 10, 2021 10.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryuya Nishio 22' goal
  • Hiroshi Kiyotake 84' goal
  • goal Katsuhiro Nakayama 5'

Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2021 5.00am
FC Tokyo 3 - 2 Cerezo
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mutsuki Kato

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2021 5.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 2 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Thiago

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 51.77%
Draw 25.49%
Shimizu S-Pulse 22.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.01%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.46%
Under 2.5 54.53%
Over 3.5 24.11%
Under 3.5 75.88%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 78.91%
Under 0.5 21.09%
Over 1.5 46.08%
Under 1.5 53.92%

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5 60.85%
Under 0.5 39.15%
Over 1.5 24.13%
Under 1.5 75.86%

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 51.77%
Draw 25.49%
Shimizu S-Pulse 22.74%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.49%
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-1 @ 7.74%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.74%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 29
Nov 14, 2020 5.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Renato Augusto 49' goal
  • Carlinhos 64' yellowcard
  • Keita Nakamura 86' goal
  • Carlinhos 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hiroshi Kiyotake 67'
  • yellowcard Riku Matsuda 75'
J1 League Gameweek 6
Jul 8, 2020 10.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Ayumu Seko 53' yellowcard
  • Hiroaki Okuno 71' goal
  • Eiichi Katayama 85' goal
  • yellowcard Valdo 44'