J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 28, 2021 4.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Douglas Grolli 7' yellowcard
  • Takuya Shigehiro 48' yellowcard
  • Takeshi Kanamori 82' goal
  • Takaaki Shichi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mateus 4'
  • yellowcard Ryogo Yamasaki 13'
  • yellowcard Yuki Soma 49'
  • goal Mateus 55'

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Yuya Yamagishi

Nagoya Grampus

Last game
Dec 19, 2020 5.00am
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Sho Inagaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result

Avispa Fukuoka 33.47%
Draw 29.54%
Nagoya Grampus 37%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.28%

Goals

Over 2.5 36.3%
Under 2.5 63.7%
Over 3.5 17.03%
Under 3.5 82.97%

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 64.61%
Under 0.5 35.39%
Over 1.5 27.85%
Under 1.5 72.15%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 66.98%
Under 0.5 33.02%
Over 1.5 30.4%
Under 1.5 69.61%

Score analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 33.46%
Draw 29.53%
Nagoya Grampus 36.99%
Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 12.13%
2-1 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 33.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.53%
Nagoya Grampus
0-1 @ 12.94%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 7.17%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.99%