Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.