Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Debrecen had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Debrecen win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puskas Academy would win this match.