Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Volos win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Volos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Apollon Smirnis win was 0-1 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Volos would win this match.