Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 72.24%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 9.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.26%) and 3-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.