Greek Superleague | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Asteras2 - 1Aris
Regis (66'), Riera (70')
Bellocq (90+1')
Bellocq (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessaloniki.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 34.65%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.81%) and 2-1 (6.71%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 34.65% | 31.07% | 34.28% |
| Both teams to score 39.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.69% | 68.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.86% | 86.13% |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% | 37.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% | 37.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Score Analysis |
Asteras Tripolis 34.65%
Aris Thessaloniki 34.27%
Draw 31.07%
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 6.81% 2-1 @ 6.71% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.82% Total : 34.65% | 0-0 @ 13.85% 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.07% | 0-1 @ 13.64% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.78% Total : 34.27% |


