Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Alkazar

Larissa
1 - 3
Asteras

Muzek (89')
Milosavljevic (36'), Secerovic (51'), Nikolias (79'), Trujic (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barrales (42', 75'), Fernandez (90+4')
Sito (52'), Suarez (68'), Fernandez (73'), Tasoulis (74'), Fernandez (90+1')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEL Larissa and Asteras Tripolis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEL Larissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
AEL LarissaDrawAsteras Tripolis
36.19%29.76%34.04%
Both teams to score 42.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.61%64.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.54%83.46%
AEL Larissa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1%33.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42%70.57%
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64%35.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88%72.12%
Score Analysis
    AEL Larissa 36.19%
    Asteras Tripolis 34.04%
    Draw 29.76%
AEL LarissaDrawAsteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 12.96%
2-1 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 11.98%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.76%
0-1 @ 12.46%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 34.04%