AEK Athens
2 - 1
Aris

Mitoglou (16'), Mantalos (37' pen.)
Rota (7'), Mantalos (54'), Simoes (85'), Tzavellas (90+5'), Vranjes (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia (73')
Leismann (21'), Jeggo (41'), Kamara (90+5'), Iturbe (90+6')

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Aris Thessaloniki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 14.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
62.2%	23.42%	14.38%

Both teams to score 40.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.38%

57.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61%

78.39%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77%

18.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.74%

49.26%

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.99%

51.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.65%

85.34%

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 62.19%

Aris Thessaloniki 14.38%

Draw 23.42%

AEK Athens	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 15.82% 2-0 @ 13.47% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.77% Total : 62.19%	1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 3.05% Other @ 0.42% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 6.26% 1-2 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 14.38%