Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tillmitsch win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Kalsdorf had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tillmitsch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.48%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Kalsdorf win was 1-2 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.