Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Myjava win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Puchov had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Myjava win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Puchov win was 2-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.