Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lund win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for IFK Trelleborg had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest IFK Trelleborg win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.