Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jarun win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Krizevci had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jarun win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Krizevci win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.