Club Friendlies 4
Aug 13, 2026 10.00am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Campo Sportivo Delle Vittorie
  • 39' goal
  • 84' goal
  • goal Mattia Bonseri 20'
  • goal Mattia Bonseri 26'

Arconatese vs Leon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arconatese

Leon

Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 4.00pm
Real Calepina 3 - 2 Leon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leon win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 28.09% and a win for Arconatese had a probability of 27.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%) , while for a Arconatese win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Arconatese 27.91% ▼ (-0.88)
Draw 28.09% ▼ (-0.20)
Leon 44% ▲ (+1.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.31% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.64% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 30.36% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 2.5 44.25% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 2.5 55.75% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 3.5 24.3% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 75.7% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 4.5 13.23% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 4.5 86.77% ▼ (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Arconatese 23.74% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 44.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Leon 31.4% ▲ (+0.33)

Team To Score First

Arconatese 38.71% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 9.53% ▼ (-0.19)
Leon 51.76% ▲ (+0.42)

Corners

Over 8 63.22% ▲ (+0.33)
Equal 8 10.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 25.92% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 9 51.66% ▲ (+0.32)
Equal 9 11.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 36.78% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 10.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 10.5 59.61% ▼ (-0.29)

Arconatese Goals

Over 1.5 27.3% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 72.7% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 8.97% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 91.03% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 2.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.47% ▲ (+0.07)

Leon Goals

Over 0.5 73.31% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 0.5 26.69% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 1.5 39.22% ▲ (+1.23)
Under 1.5 60.78% ▼ (-1.23)
Over 2.5 16.33% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 2.5 83.67% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 5.69% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 94.31% ▼ (-0.38)

Score analysis

Arconatese 27.92%
Draw 28.09%
Leon 43.99%
Arconatese
1-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.32)
2-1 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 27.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.09%
Leon
0-1 @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 43.99%