Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchagua win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.65% and a win for Deportes Santa Cruz had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchagua win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%) , while for a Deportes Santa Cruz win it was 1-2 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.