Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Unterhaching win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.11% and a win for TuS Geretsried had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Unterhaching win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%) , while for a TuS Geretsried win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.