Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Podbrezova win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Tatran Presov had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Podbrezova win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Tatran Presov win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Podbrezova would win this match.