Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ostersunds FK win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.31% and a win for Umeå had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ostersunds FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%) , while for a Umeå win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.