Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Městský Stadión
  • Max Pawłowski 77' goal
  • Denny Samko 86' goal
  • goal Kacper Laskowski 38'

MFK Karvina vs Ruch Chorzow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MFK Karvina

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.30pm
MFK Karvina 0 - 0 Povazska Bystrica

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00am
Wieczysta Krakow 0 - 0 Ruch Chorzow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 1-2 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

MFK Karvina 44.1% (+0.08)
Draw 23.96% (+0.14)
Ruch Chorzow 31.98% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.27% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.95% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.05% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 60.36% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 39.64% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 37.01% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 62.99% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 22.18% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 77.82% (+0.12)

First Half Winner

MFK Karvina 35.49% (-0.08)
Draw 35.58% (+0.01)
Ruch Chorzow 28.93% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

MFK Karvina 52.28% (-0.11)
No Goal 5.22% (+0.05)
Ruch Chorzow 42.5% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 68.74% (-0.14)
Equal 8 10.02% (+0.02)
Under 8 21.24% (+0.11)
Over 9 57.59% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.15% (+0.01)
Under 9 31.26% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 46.24% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 53.76% (+0.15)

MFK Karvina Goals

Over 1.5 47.53%
Under 1.5 52.47%
Over 2.5 22.64% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.36% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.5% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.5% (+0.04)

Ruch Chorzow Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.04% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.66% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 62.34% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 16.05% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 83.95% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.69% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.31% (+0.08)

Score analysis

MFK Karvina 44.08%
Draw 23.96%
Ruch Chorzow 31.98%
MFK Karvina
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.63% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.83% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.25% (-0.03)
Total : 44.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.22% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.96%
Ruch Chorzow
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.22% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.44% (-0.07)
Total : 31.98%