Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkenbergs win with a probability of 62.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.63% and a win for Ariana had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkenbergs win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%) , while for a Ariana win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.