Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ZFC Meuselwitz win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Empor Glauchau had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a ZFC Meuselwitz win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Empor Glauchau win was 2-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.