Club Friendlies 3
Jan 28, 2026 12.00am
Q2 Stadium

Austin FC vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.00am
Austin 0 - 0 San Antonio

Louisville City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 12.00am
Houston 0 - 0 Louisville City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Louisville City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Austin FC has a probability of 36.25% and a draw has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Louisville City win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Austin FC win is 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).

Result

Austin FC 36.25% (+3.18)
Draw 25.88% (-1.32)
Louisville City 37.93% (-1.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (+2.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.04% (+1.86)
Under 1.5 24.96% (-1.86)
Over 2.5 52.12% (+2.15)
Under 2.5 47.88% (-2.15)
Over 3.5 29.87% (+2.49)
Under 3.5 70.13% (-2.49)
Over 4.5 16.92% (+1.53)
Under 4.5 83.08% (-1.52)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 24.03% (+1.96)
Draw 47.2% (-1.42)
Louisville City 28.77% (-0.54)

Team To Score First

Austin FC 42.06% (+2.81)
No Goal 7.63% (-1.76)
Louisville City 50.31% (-1.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.57% (-1.11)
Equal 8 10.73% (+0.05)
Under 8 29.7% (+1.06)
Over 9 48.5% (-1.04)
Equal 9 11.07% (-0.07)
Under 9 40.43% (+1.11)
Over 10.5 37.95% (-0.91)
Under 10.5 62.05% (+0.91)

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 36.48% (+3.28)
Under 1.5 63.52% (-3.28)
Over 2.5 15.43% (+2.22)
Under 2.5 84.57% (-2.23)
Over 3.5 4.79% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 95.21% (-0.84)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 70.89% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.11% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.57% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 61.43% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 16.1% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 83.9% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.17% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 93.83% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Austin FC 36.24%
Draw 25.88%
Louisville City 37.93%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 8.49% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 7.99% (+0.37)
2-0 @ 5.43% (+0.48)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.55)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.53)
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.23)
Other @ 4.68% (+0.85)
Total : 36.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-1.76)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.28)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.03)
Total : 25.88%
Louisville City
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.43)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.88)
1-3 @ 3.69% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.50)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.06% (+0.12)
Total : 37.93%