Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalen win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for FV Illertissen had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aalen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest FV Illertissen win was 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.