Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stourport Swifts win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Worcester Raiders had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stourport Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.66%) and 0-1 (5.28%). The likeliest Worcester Raiders win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.