Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wootton Bassett Town win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Mangotsfield United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wootton Bassett Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Mangotsfield United win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wootton Bassett Town in this match.
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