Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Witham Town win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Hertford Town had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Witham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.85%) and 3-2 (5.01%). The likeliest Hertford Town win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Witham Town in this match.