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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Simarco Stadium (Witham, Essex)

Witham Town
2 - 1
Hertford Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Witham Town and Hertford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Witham Town

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Hertford Town

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Witham Town win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Hertford Town had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Witham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.85%) and 3-2 (5.01%). The likeliest Hertford Town win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Witham Town in this match.

Result
Witham TownDrawHertford Town
47.24% (-1.822 -1.82)20.87% (0.333 0.33)31.89% (1.492 1.49)
Both teams to score 72.01% (-0.399 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.43% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)26.57% (0.85 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.06% (-1.084 -1.08)46.94% (1.088 1.09)
Witham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (-0.834 -0.83)12.18% (0.838 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18% (-1.793 -1.79)37.82% (1.797 1.8)
Hertford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (0.324 0.32)18.01% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12% (0.548 0.55)48.88% (-0.545 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Witham Town 47.24%
    Hertford Town 31.89%
    Draw 20.87%
Witham TownDrawHertford Town
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 5.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-0 @ 4.62% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.221 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.64% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1.51% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 47.24%
1-1 @ 7.92% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.19% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 20.87%
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.273 0.27)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.194 0.19)
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.233 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.149 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.099 0.1)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 31.89%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Witham Town