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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Tiger Stadium

Sheppey United
1 - 1
Hanwell Town

FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (85')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Sheppey United and Hanwell Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheppey United

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Last Game: North Greenford United 0-3 Sheppey United
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Hanwell Town

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Last Game: Hanwell Town 0-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheppey United win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Hanwell Town had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheppey United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Hanwell Town win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Sheppey UnitedDrawHanwell Town
43.11% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.82% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.32% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)36.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)59.05% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Sheppey United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)48.19% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Hanwell Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)21.93% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (0.012999999999998 0.01)55.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sheppey United 43.11%
    Hanwell Town 33.82%
    Draw 23.06%
Sheppey UnitedDrawHanwell Town
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 33.82%