FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sheerwater
1 - 1
Rusthall

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Sheerwater and Rusthall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheerwater win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Rusthall had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheerwater win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.24%) and 3-2 (4.84%). The likeliest Rusthall win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Sheerwater	Draw	Rusthall
42.33% ( 1.15)	21.12% ( 0.07)	36.55% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 72.73% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.73% (

-0.52)

26.27% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.44% (

-0.67)

46.56% (

0.68)

Sheerwater Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

0.19)

13.63% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

0.37)

40.79% (

-0.36)

Rusthall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

-0.72)

15.79% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.06% (

-1.34)

44.94% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Sheerwater 42.33%

Rusthall 36.55%

Draw 21.12%

Sheerwater	Draw	Rusthall
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.12%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.11) 3-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.82% Total : 36.55%