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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tatnam Stadium

Poole
2 - 3
Taunton Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Poole Town and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poole Town

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Last Game: Poole 2-0 Swindon Supermarine
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Taunton Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Taunton Town 3-0 Didcot Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Taunton Town win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Poole Town had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Taunton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Poole Town win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Poole TownDrawTaunton Town
27.06% (-0.032 -0.03)23.36% (-0.012 -0.01)49.58% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.027999999999999 0.03)41.95% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Poole Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (0.028999999999996 0.03)17.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.75% (0.050000000000004 0.05)47.25% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Poole Town 27.06%
    Taunton Town 49.58%
    Draw 23.36%
Poole TownDrawTaunton Town
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.06%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 49.58%