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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Newcastle Blue Star
2 - 3
Hallam

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Newcastle Blue Star and Hallam.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Blue Star

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Last Game: North Ferriby 2-4 Newcastle Blue Star
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Hallam

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Last Game: Hallam 2-0 Charnock Richard
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hallam win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newcastle Blue Star had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hallam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Newcastle Blue Star win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hallam would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Blue StarDrawHallam
37.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)23.69% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.63% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Newcastle Blue Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)21.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.3% (0.012 0.01)
Hallam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)52.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Blue Star 37.15%
    Hallam 39.16%
    Draw 23.69%
Newcastle Blue StarDrawHallam
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.15%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 39.16%

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