FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town
3 - 2
Cribbs

Twamley (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Croome (44')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Merthyr Town and Cribbs.

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Cribbs

Last Game: Cribbs 2-0 Roman Glass St George
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cribbs had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Cribbs win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Merthyr Town would win this match.

Result
Merthyr Town	Draw	Cribbs
66.49%	17.91% ( 0)	15.6%

Both teams to score 60.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.32% (

-0)

31.68% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.81% (

-0)

53.19% (

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.12%

8.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.63%

30.37% (

Cribbs Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71%

33.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

-0)

69.9% (

Score Analysis

Merthyr Town 66.49%

Cribbs 15.6%

Draw 17.91%

Merthyr Town	Draw	Cribbs
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.69% 1-0 @ 7.15% 3-0 @ 6.99% 4-1 @ 4.66% 4-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 4.23% 4-2 @ 2.56% 5-1 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 2.05% 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.94% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.36% Total : 66.49%	1-1 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.24% 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.29% Total : 17.91%	1-2 @ 4.33% 0-1 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-2 @ 1.79% 1-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.72% Total : 15.6%