FA Cup
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Penydarren Park
  • Lewys Twamley 90'+4' goal
  • goal Bailey Croome 44'

Merthyr Town vs Cribbs - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions

Cribbs

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cribbs had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Cribbs win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Merthyr Town would win this match.

Result

Merthyr Town 66.49%
Draw 17.91% (+0.01)
Cribbs 15.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.79%

Goals

Over 2.5 68.32% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 31.68% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 46.81% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 53.19% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 27.87% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 72.13% (+0.01)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 91.12%
Under 0.5 8.87% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 69.63%
Under 1.5 30.37% (+0.01)

Cribbs Goals

Over 0.5 66.71%
Under 0.5 33.28% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.1% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.9% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 66.49%
Draw 17.91%
Cribbs 15.6%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.69%
1-0 @ 7.15%
3-0 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 4.66%
4-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 4.23%
4-2 @ 2.56%
5-1 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 66.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.87%
2-2 @ 5.24%
0-0 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 17.91%
Cribbs
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-1 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-2 @ 1.79%
1-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 15.6%