Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheadle Town win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Longridge Town had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheadle Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.59%) and 2-3 (5.01%). The likeliest Longridge Town win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.