FA Cup
Long Melford vs Downham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Long Melford
Downham Town
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Downham Town win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Long Melford had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Downham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Long Melford win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Downham Town would win this match.
Result
Long Melford
24.32%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
21.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Downham Town
54.41%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
63.82%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.44%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
34.55%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
43.51%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
56.49%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
25.02%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
74.97%
▲
(+0.10)
Long Melford Goals
Over 0.5
73.22%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
26.78%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
37.93%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
62.06%
▲
(+0.24)
Downham Town Goals
Over 0.5
87.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
12.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
60.8%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
39.2%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Long Melford
24.32%
Draw
21.27%
Downham Town
54.41%
Long Melford
2-1
@
6.13%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 4.53%
2-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 24.32%
1-0 @ 4.53%
2-0 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 24.32%
Draw
1-1
@
9.3%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.27%
2-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.27%
Downham Town
1-2
@
9.54%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 54.41%
0-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 54.41%