Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Downham Town win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Long Melford had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Downham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Long Melford win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Downham Town would win this match.
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