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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stoneylands

Long Melford
1 - 4
Downham Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Long Melford and Downham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Long Melford

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Downham Town

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Downham Town win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Long Melford had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Downham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Long Melford win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Downham Town would win this match.

Result
Long MelfordDrawDownham Town
24.32% (-0.165 -0.16)21.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)54.41% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 63.82% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.44% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)34.55% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.51% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)56.49% (0.11 0.11)
Long Melford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.175 -0.17)26.78% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (-0.233 -0.23)62.06% (0.232 0.23)
Downham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)12.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (0.041000000000004 0.04)39.2% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Long Melford 24.32%
    Downham Town 54.41%
    Draw 21.27%
Long MelfordDrawDownham Town
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.53%
2-0 @ 2.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.32%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.35% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 54.41%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Long Melford